Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.336744 0.391118 0.448391 0.512928 0.583342 0.657569 0.741458
2024-12-29 0.265653 0.341076 0.425506 0.525875 0.640812 0.767260 0.915823
2025-01-05 0.204817 0.291027 0.393457 0.521402 0.674289 0.848655 1.060080
2025-01-12 0.160647 0.252711 0.368603 0.520104 0.708048 0.929040 1.204032
2025-01-19 0.131644 0.228245 0.356523 0.531076 0.754594 1.024080 1.366433
2025-01-26 0.110732 0.210807 0.350481 0.547448 0.806645 1.125778 1.538151
2025-02-02 0.093812 0.195953 0.345501 0.563455 0.857363 1.225941 1.709212
2025-02-09 0.074984 0.174516 0.328323 0.560608 0.881975 1.292656 1.839128
2025-02-16 0.062697 0.161326 0.321292 0.570392 0.922485 1.379430 1.994736
2025-02-23 0.050044 0.144728 0.306864 0.567811 0.945033 1.442430 2.120342
2025-03-02 0.036491 0.122881 0.281157 0.546075 0.939088 1.466686 2.195482
2025-03-09 0.029962 0.113750 0.275272 0.553359 0.973457 1.544412 2.340313
2025-03-16 0.022001 0.099068 0.258237 0.542480 0.981827 1.588151 2.442851
2025-03-23 0.019105 0.096098 0.262039 0.564884 1.039247 1.699648 2.636482
2025-03-30 0.014584 0.086952 0.252970 0.565390 1.063826 1.766076 2.770830
2025-04-06 0.011039 0.079004 0.245079 0.567033 1.089692 1.834314 2.908137
2025-04-13 0.008934 0.074810 0.244242 0.580419 1.133480 1.928076 3.080769
2025-04-20 0.007459 0.072203 0.246370 0.598823 1.185145 2.033415 3.269974
2025-04-27 0.006163 0.069590 0.248112 0.616422 1.235738 2.137732 3.458709
2025-05-04 0.004276 0.062637 0.239021 0.613755 1.254039 2.195786 3.584365
2025-05-11 0.003242 0.059069 0.237317 0.624349 1.293407 2.284468 3.752869
2025-05-18 0.002097 0.053147 0.228915 0.621728 1.311146 2.341711 3.878134
2025-05-25 0.000963 0.044077 0.210624 0.598703 1.294544 2.347978 3.931976